If Recession Comes, Will Law Firms Be Hit?

The forecast is foreboding – recession ahead –the face of a recession. That can be a mistake,
and everyone is scrambling for safety. But what doesBower warns, because they may be missing
is mean for the legal profession?opportunities presented by the recession to expand
Some experts believe the legal profession isthrough lateral hires and mergers. "Firms that are
recession-proof; in good times and bad, there is alwaysadequately capitalized can find recession to be a
a need for lawyers. But others say the demand forgrowth opportunity."
legal services is already declining and could drop evenAlso important is for law firms to be flexible in their
lower in a recession.staffing, advises Jordak. "Firms need to have the
Most agree, however, that law firms have learnedflexibility to assign associates from an area that's
from the errors of the past and are now betterdown to a more active area."
equipped than ever before to handle an economicOthers suggest trimming may be in order. "Look extra
downturn.hard at the quality of your lawyers," recommends
"The legal industry is more recession proof than most,"Donald A. Loft, a partner with Morris, Manning & Martin
says Peter Zeughauser, founder of managementin Atlanta. "Get lean and market the firm harder.
consulting firm Zeughauser Group. "Clients will haveIncentivize your good marketers to get out there."
legal needs in down times and have legal needs in upCiti's DiPietro is even blunter: "Firms are recession
times – they may be different needs, but they'llresistant, not recession proof. This is an opportunity to
have them. As a service business, the legal industry isshed unproductive lawyers via rigorous performance
generally recession proof."reviews."
Practice areas likely to remain healthy even in aLISTEN TO YOUR CLIENTS
recession are litigation, intellectual property, restructuringNo matter what happens, don't forget your clients,
and bankruptcy, Zeughauser says. Those likely to slowseveral practitioners urge.
are transactional areas such as mergers and"One thing that's important is for attorneys to really
acquisitions and private equity work.listen to their clients and try to be ahead of the
Zeughauser's perspective is one shared by many –particular concerns in their sector of the economy,"
litigation will remain strong while major transactions willsays Jordak. "By doing that, you can better position
taper. But a just-released report concludes that ayourself to help your clients work through their
confluence of economic factors could challenge thatrecession woes."
conventional wisdom.Donald Loft agrees, "Get more creative with your fee
The January 2008 Client Advisory jointly issued byarrangements. Put extra emphasis on efficiency and
Hildebrandt International and Citi Private Bank finds thatservice. It is a privilege to represent your clients, not
the current economic downturn is hurting the legalvice versa; act like a business partner and be sensitive
industry across all practice areas.to their needs."
"In a sense, the current downturn has thus far been aWhile larger firms that are diverse in their practice
'perfect storm' in which finance, transactional, andareas and geography may have the upper hand in
litigation work have all trended downward at the sameweathering a recession, smaller firms have an
time, with no offsetting surge in work related to theadvantage in their flexibility.
economic downturn itself," the advisory cautions."Smaller firms with flexibility may pick up some clients,"
Still, that downward trend is likely to turn up as thesays Loft. "I would expect corporations to shop
recession deepens, at least for litigation, says one ofaround. I would expect rate increases to slow down
the advisory's authors, Danilo S. DiPietro, head of theand increased demand for fixed price services."
Law Firm Group at Citi Private Bank in New York.If all this makes you nervous, you are not alone. "Every
"There is already some evidence that high end litigationlaw firm is always nervous about its work and its
and investigatory work are picking up."clients," observes Zeughauser. "Normal anxiety is
The reason litigation remains strong during a recessionheightened at a time like this. There are few firms that
is no surprise. Even when the economy is down,don't worry about losing work."
companies still want to sue each other, notes John A.But even if there are storm clouds approaching, there
Jordak Jr., a partner with Alston & Bird in Atlanta. "Inmay be a silver lining within them.
fact, companies might be more inclined to sue if the"The legal profession is extremely resilient, and the
economy is down."demand for legal services will undoubtedly continue to
In his focus area of securities litigation, that also holdsgrow, albeit perhaps at a somewhat slower pace,"
true, Jordak says. "Class actions are filed typicallysays the Hildebrant/Citi Client Advisory. "But, with
when the stock price of a company takes a nosecareful and sensitive management and with particular
dive. If the market is jumpy, you'll have more of thoseattention to 'people issues,' we believe that most firms
cases filed. So a recession can often mean an up tickwill experience a relatively good year, even if overall
in our work."annual revenue and profit growth is less than in the
FIRMS BETTER PREPAREDimmediate past."
Industry observers agree that most large law firmsFor Donald Loft, challenging times offer opportunity.
learned valuable lessons from the economic downturn"When times get tough, that's when you have to use it
a decade ago and are better prepared than ever toas an opportunity to examine how you can compete
weather any approaching economic storm.more effectively. If you do that, it will serve you well
Ward Bower, principal of legal consulting firm Altmannot just in hard times, but when things turn around as
Weil Inc., suggests that the key to being prepared is forwell."
a firm to diversify into countercyclical practice areasThis article was originally published in BullsEye, a
and to be prepared to downsize where necessary.newsletter distributed by IMS ExpertServices™. IMS
Also, firms should cross-train lawyers in areas such asExpert Services is the premier expert witness search
corporate law and real estate to handle matters onfirm in the legal industry, focused exclusively on
both sides of the cycle.providing custom expert witness searches to
Jordak believes this is why larger firms such as his areattorneys. To read this and other legal industry
better able to withstand the vagaries of the economy.BullsEye publications, please visit IMS Expert Services'
"For a firm such as Alston with a broad base, if onerecent articles. For your next expert witness search,
area is down, others go up, so it equals out over time."call us at 877-838-8464 or visit our website.
Even so, some firms are tempted to hunker down in