The Dirty Little Secret About Roth-IRA Conversions- Why They Usually Don't Make Sense

My multimillionaire client Bill called me the other day. HeIf he also paid a 35% tax on this money, after paying
wanted to talk about congress recently loosening thethe income taxes, he would net $5,605,002.43. Which is
rules about who can convert regular IRA accounts tothe exact some number he ends up with if he
Roth-IRA accounts.converts to a Roth-IRA...
In the past, because of his income, Bill hasn't been ableSome sort of weird cosmic coincidence? No. Here's
to use a Roth-IRA. Starting in 2010, however, even highthe dirty little secret about Roth-IRAs: If the tax rates
net worth, multi-millionaire taxpayers like Bill can use astay the same, converting a traditional IRA to a
Roth-IRA by converting existing traditional IRAs andRoth-IRA doesn't really make sense.
IRA-Rollover accounts to Roth-IRAs.But One Final Roth Wrinkle...
Bill understood he would pay income taxes on theLet me share a final wrinkle related to Roth-IRAs and
conversion. But wouldn't it make sense, he asked, toRoth conversions.
convert a $1,000,000 IRA account he'd been able toI truly suggest clients like Bill think of Roths and regular
accumulate to a Roth-IRA?IRAs as "six of one, half a dozen of the other"
A Simple Roth-IRA Conversion Examplesituations. That said, where a person gets the money
Unfortunately, I explained, Roth-IRA conversions aren'tto pay the taxes on the conversion makes a
that simple.difference, too.
But let me share some additional information. Bill willFor example, if a client like Bill uses some of the IRA
retire in about 25 years. He earns about 9% a year onbalance to pay the taxes (this is sort of what my
his $1,000,000 IRA. He also pays the highest 35%example calculations assume), the taxpayer may have
marginal income tax.to pay an early withdrawal penalty. That early
If he converts, Bill will need to pay income taxes on hiswithdrawal penalty makes the Roth a worse deal.
$1,000,000 conversion. Because Bill gets taxed as the(Conclusion: Don't convert to a Roth unless you've got
highest, 35% marginal rate, he'll pay $350,000 today ifother, non-Roth money to pay the taxes.)
he converts. But even so, he will end up withAnd here's another example. If a taxpayer uses other
$5,605,002.43 in his Roth-IRA in 25 years. And thefunds to pay the taxes, he or she gets a slightly better
sweet thing is, of course, that money will have alreadyoutcome with the Roth--even if tax rates are the
been taxed.same now and in the future. This Roth-related boost
Bill thought that sounded great, of course. And I had tocomes from the fact that with a Roth, a taxpayer can
agree. More than $5,000,000 tax free. Sweet.save more money in a tax-advantaged account.
What Happens with a Traditional IRA and NoGetting Smart about Roth-IRA Conversions
ConversionThe conclusion? Converting to a Roth-IRA probably
I explained, however, that we also needed to comparemakes sense when you expect your tax rates to
this Roth-IRA future value amount to what Bill wouldstay the same or to go up in retirement.
end up with after tax if he just stuck with his regularBecause most people's tax rates fall in retirement,
IRA.most people shouldn't use a Roth or convert existing
In that case, Bill ended up with $8,623,080.66.an IRA to a Roth. Even multimillionaires like Bill.